Global business jet activity declined 0.7 per cent year-on-year in Week 26 (22–28 June) with the year-to-date figure through 28 June at 3.7 per cent ahead of last year, a full 1.0 percentage point increase compared to the 2025 versus 2024 trend across the same dates. While accounting for a combined four per cent of total global business jet traffic last week, Asia and Africa both saw roughly two per cent growth compared to Week 26 last year.

This weekend marks the Fourth of July holiday in the USA, and New York's business jet traffic consistently contracts over the Independence Day holiday. The 3–5 July 2025 window drew just over 680 business jet arrivals into the NYC metro area, well below the 1,150 seen over a typical summer Thursday–Saturday period in NYC last year. 2024 saw a similar trend as activity slowed down while business jet travellers spend time with friends and family rather travel into the city.

This year the holiday lands on a Saturday, while this summer, the city is seeing roughly 1,300 arrivals over a typical weekend. Two offsetting draws complicate the usual drawdown in traffic for 4th July: Taylor Swift's wedding and a FIFA World Cup match in New Jersey, both which could pull additional traffic into NYC that would otherwise not travel. Jeff Bezos' wedding in Venice last summer supports this argument when the late-June VVIP wedding near Venice lifted local arrivals to nearly twice the everyday norm.

While the holiday dip could still appear for business jets flying into NYC this weekend, a strong enough event pull could flatten the weekend overall.

More broadly, the North American market was flat last week year-on-year, with the US matching the region's overall trend with a 0.2 per cent lift. Amongst top US states, Week 26 trends were a mixed bag. Florida bucked the overall trend, expanding 5.7 per cent year-on-year, Texas held its own and saw 1.2 per cent more traffic, while California struggled and declined 2.3 per cent.

In Europe, business jet activity contracted for another consecutive week, falling 2.9 per cent in Week 26, while the region's top countries saw a variety of growth trends. France led growth amongst top countries last week, expanding 6.6 per cent and trailed behind by the UK, which saw 1.5 per cent Week 26 growth. Meanwhile Switzerland, Germany and Italy all realised declines, of -1.3, -6.6 and -13.2 per cent respectively.

Business jet activity in regions outside Europe and North America saw a flat week of no expansion or contraction, while the Middle East showed a relatively positive week, although it was still down against Week 26 2025. Africa led Week 26 growth at 2.4 per cent, followed closely by Asia with an increase of 2.3 per cent, while South America declined 1.1 per cent and the Middle East continued to decline, though only by 2.5 per cent, a strong improvement compared to the 20 per cent or more declines seen in recent weeks.

Nick Koscinski, WingX analyst, comments: “With the Fourth of July holiday this weekend in the US, there is typically a slowdown in US business jet traffic as travellers spend the weekend celebrating with friends and family. Even as one of the world's largest business jet hubs, NYC is not immune to this holiday trend, but with Taylor Swift's wedding along with a World Cup match in New Jersey, the usual dip could get flattened out. This is another reminder of how marquee events can reshape traffic patterns we otherwise treat as predictable.”