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Negative COP26 coverage doesn't slow down business jet demand
Business jet activity in Europe has seen a huge increase, in part down to the G20 summit and the COP26 climate conference, despite attracting negative press as a result.

Global business jet activity has posted a new record for sectors flown in the month of October. Compared to the previous record, posted in October 2019, business jet sectors were up 19% worldwide and eclipsed October 2020 activity by 45%. Demand for business aviation continues to be boosted by the erosion in commercial aviation, with airline traffic trailing 28% behind October 2019. Business jet light hours were up even more, 19% above October 2019 levels, which underlines the rebound in larger cabin aircraft and longer-sectors, according to data from WingX.

Business jets have caught some negative media coverage over the last week due to their highly visible arrivals at the G20 conference in Rome, Italy and the COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland. There were 50 business jet arrivals on the opening day of the climate conference into Glasgow Prestwick as well as Edinburgh and Glasgow International airports. That compares to an average 12 business jet arrivals daily during the rest of the month and eight daily in the preceding week. Looking at the seven-day run up to the event, and the opening two days, 118 different business jets flew into the airport, flown by 82 different operators. The busiest inbound airports on the opening day were Luton, Moscow Vnukovo, Nice and Rome. The most popular business jet arriving on the opening day was the Challenger 600, with nine arrivals.

In the wider European area, October has seen extraordinary growth in business aviation activity compared with previous years. With over 75,000 sectors flown on business jets and props, flight activity in Europe was 28% higher than in October 2019. The UK has bounced back by the most; until September, UK business jet traffic was behind 2019 levels, but in October flight departures were up 18% on October two years ago, elevating it to the second busiest market in Europe. France was the busiest country, with business jet sectors rocketing 23% higher than normal. The most eye-catching growth in October came in Italy, Spain and Switzerland, which were respectively 42%, 52% and 39% more active than in October 2019. Very light jet traffic was up 41% versus October 2019 while ultra-long range jets have operated 7,700 sectors in Europe in October, 21% more than in October 2019.

Business aviation activity in the US, including turboprops, is up 2% on 2019 through October and up 5% for just business jet sectors. That trend will surely extend to a record breaking total for 2021, as October full-month trends show a 12% growth on October 2019, which was the busiest month since 2008. Commercial aviation is recovering relatively fast in the US, with network schedules down “only” 18% in October. Charter and fractional operators are driving the growth, with fleet activity 30% up on October 2019. Super midsize jets account for over 20% of all the traffic in October, with sectors 26% higher than the corresponding October 2019. Teterboro, Boston and Dulles Washington are three of the only airports that did not have more traffic in October than two years before. Much of the deficit is in international flights; transatlantic business jet connections from the US are running 32% behind 2019 year-to-date.

Outside the US and Europe, business jet demand has stuttered in the fourth quarter of the year. Having been well ahead of 2019 trends in the spring and summer, sectors flown were up just 4% in October. Recoveries in Canada and Mexico appear to have stalled, with sectors still 20% below normal. Business jet sectors in China are slightly up on 2019, although down on October 2020, and flight hours are well below two years ago. Business jet activity in Australia has fallen below 2019 levels, and flight activity in Saudi Arabia has not yet fully recovered since 2020. In contrast, business jet activity in Qatar and UAE is well above 2019 for October. Several countries in Africa have seen strong growth in business jet activity throughout this year, continuing in October, notably South Africa and Nigeria.

Richard Koe, WingX managing director, comments: “Business jet activity continues to grow well into the winter period in the US and Europe, which is a strong endorsement of sustained demand. The opening up of transatlantic connections this month should boost activity further. On the downside, the high visibility of business jet usage at COP26 is getting negative headlines. The business aviation industry will be nervous of any repeat of the decade-long toxic optics that appeared to follow Obama's criticism of the auto executives' use of private jets back in 2008.”

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