IBA Group anticipates 884 business jet deliveries in 2026, representing a 6.5% increase from 2025 as supply chain pressures gradually ease while production and completions capacity continue to limit delivery pace.

The outlook follows a strong 2025 in which 830 business jets were delivered, close to IBA’s forecast of 820 aircraft. Demand remained resilient, though the pace of deliveries was largely determined by supply chain performance and completions throughput rather than orderbook weakness.

For 2026, demand growth is expected across multiple segments. IBA forecasts 245 deliveries in the light and super-light category and 192 aircraft in the large and ultra-long-range segment. The super-midsize category is projected to reach 156 deliveries, while mid-size and large-cabin jets are expected to remain broadly stable at 91 and 92 aircraft respectively. Very light jets are forecast to rise to 108 deliveries.

IBA says this distribution reflects sustained utilisation in charter and corporate operations alongside continued appetite for longer-range aircraft with premium cabin offerings.

The firm’s research indicates two principal demand channels. Light jet segments remain central to charter and corporate missions, while the large and ultra-long-range segment is supported by buyers prioritising range and cabin experience.

From an OEM perspective, Textron and Embraer are each expected to account for roughly one-fifth of deliveries. Bombardier and Gulfstream represent shares in the high teens, while Dassault, Pilatus and other manufacturers make up the remainder.

Recent manufacturer performance supports the outlook. Bombardier increased backlog from US$14.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024 to US$17.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025. Deliveries rose from 146 to 157 aircraft and the company recorded a full-year unit book-to-bill ratio of 1.4.

Demand was partly supported by fleet operators including NetJets, Flexjet and VistaJet, whose multi-aircraft commitments continue to support production lines while absorbing near-term delivery capacity.

Gulfstream Aerospace also recorded strong performance through 2025. Revenue increased from US$11.25 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024 to US$13.11 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025. Backlog rose from US$19.69 billion to US$21.83 billion while deliveries increased from 134 to 160 aircraft during the same period.

Despite continued demand, production guidance across the sector remains measured. Supplier performance, completions capacity and broader supply chain stability continue to shape delivery schedules.