2026 is poised to be one of the busiest years for business aviation in more than a decade, according to a market outlook from UK-based aircraft trading and advisory firm Moon Jet Group. The firm says activity is being driven by renewed economic confidence, pro-growth policy direction under the Trump administration and the anticipated impact of the widely referenced “big, beautiful bill”.

According to Moon Jet Group, the legislation is viewed by markets as strongly supportive of investment, entrepreneurship and wealth generating. The firm says it is already influencing long-term planning across the business aviation sector, with aircraft owners, corporations and high-net-worth individuals increasingly re-engaging in fleet planning discussions after a prolonged period of uncertainty.

“Policy clarity matters in business aviation,” says James Moon, founder at Moon Jet Group. “The Trump administration's pro-business stance and the passage of the big, beautiful bill have materially improved confidence. That confidence translates directly into aircraft transactions, fleet upgrades and long-term investment decisions.”

Moon Jet Group believes the current policy environment creates meaningful tailwinds for business aviation by encouraging capital deployment, supporting job creation and recognising private aviation as a strategic enabler of commerce rather than an asset of luxury.

The firm says it is seeing increased engagement from both first-time buyers and experienced owners and operators, particularly those planning acquisitions or replacements aligned with multi-year growth strategies.

“Business aviation thrives when decision-makers have visibility,” adds James Moon, founder at Moon Jet Group. “We believe the coming cycle will reward those who act decisively and 2026 is shaping up to be a defining year.”

Despite rising interest, Moon Jet Group says the supply of high-quality pre-owned aircraft remains constrained, particularly among super-midsize and ultra-long-range types. The firm says extended OEM issues are continuing to push buyers toward the secondary market, intensifying competition and reinforcing the importance of early engagement and expert advisory support.

Moon Jet Group expects these dynamics to persist through 2026, contributing to elevated transaction activity and more strategic, off-market dealmaking.

While it sees strong momentum in the United States, the firm notes a growing contrast with Europe’s approach to business aviation.

“There is a clear divergence,” says James Moon, founder at Moon Jet Group. “In the U.S., business aviation is increasingly recognised as a productivity tool and economic multiplier. In parts of Europe, it continues to be disproportionately targeted through taxation, regulation and climate rhetoric.”

Moon Jet Group believes Europe risks undermining competitiveness and connectivity by failing to fully appreciate the role business aviation plays in supporting businesses, regional access and economic resilience.

“Rather than targeting the sector, Europe has an opportunity to modernise its perspective,” adds James Moon, founder at Moon Jet Group. “Business aviation should be seen as part of the solution, not the problem.”

Moon Jet Group expects 2026 to be characterised not only by higher aircraft transaction volumes, but by increased complexity, broader international participation and more sophisticated fleet strategies.

“The next 12 to 18 months will be critical,” says James Moon, founder at Moon Jet Group. “Those who plan early and align with experienced aircraft advisors will be best positioned as the market accelerates.”